Step 3 • Post-Hire Validity
The first federal system that proves its tests work.
Continuous criterion validity studies linking assessment scores to real on-the-job performance. Uniform Guidelines §5B compliant. Bayesian updates flow back to the design agent.
Mean validity coefficient
0.54
r
+0.03
corrected for range restriction
Validity studies live
11
series
+2
OPMRFI-26-1124 Appendix A coverage
Hires linked to criterion data
8,412
+412 this quarter
74% of eligible cohorts
Agencies feeding performance data
4
+1 pilot
OPM, GSA, VA, USDA
Validity coefficient over time
Hunter–Schmidt corrected · 95% confidence band
Validity by occupational series
Current quarter · sorted by coefficient
Adverse impact monitor — 4/5ths rule
EEOC selection ratio analysis across protected groups, refreshed nightly.
Female vs. Male
Above 4/5ths threshold (0.80)
0.92
Black vs. White
Above 4/5ths threshold (0.80)
0.86
Hispanic vs. White
Above 4/5ths threshold (0.80)
0.88
Asian vs. White
Above 4/5ths threshold (0.80)
0.95
Veteran vs. Non-Veteran
No adverse impact detected
1.04
Drift alerts
Validity drop detected
1801 Criminal Investigation
Q4 2025 coefficient r = 0.38 fell below 0.40 threshold (95% CI lower bound 0.31). Schedule re-validation.
Differential prediction warning
0501 Financial Management
Intercept difference between protected groups exceeds 0.15 SD. Cleary model review recommended.
Manager survey response rate dropping
0080 Security Administration
180-day survey completion at 58%, below 70% target. Sample size impact on next coefficient estimate.
Criterion event stream
Live ingestion from agency performance systems and manager surveys
180-day manager rating received
2210 IT Specialist • Cohort 2025-Q2 • 47 ratings ingested
12 min ago
Separation event recorded
0301 Admin Officer • Hire #2025-08412 • Voluntary, 8 months tenure
38 min ago
Promotion logged
1102 Contracting • GS-11 → GS-12 • 16 months from hire
1 hr ago
Certification milestone
0501 Financial Management • 92% cohort time-to-proficiency met
3 hr ago
90-day pulse survey closed
0610 Nurse • 121 responses • mean rating 4.1/5
5 hr ago